Winning in Online Skilled Gaming… Err… Gambling! [Part 04]

 

Optimistic+ (My Creation)
(Best Applied to Baccarat Class of Games)

If you have played any of the baccarat class of games like dragon tiger, cricket war or football studio – you may find that it virtually is a 50% probability game on either side – not including the tie or suited tie that happens once in a while. Now, in this class of games the experienced gamer even by using the fibonacci technique, might still end up losing big. This is because of long streaks of a specific side winning again and again, combined with the dogged approach of the fibonacci player and the act of continuing beyond the safe limits without bet auto stoppers. Now, even with bet auto stoppers in place, you may not be able to win as much.

Hence, the optimistic+ algorithm. The naming of the algorithm is due to ‘the optimistic belief that a side that is winning will continue to win’. Now, rather than betting on a side that will eventually win, you continue betting on the side that is winning. For most baccarat style 2 card games, this approach will yield more to the player. But you still need to have the safe limits operation using the bet auto stoppers.

You can observe from the above that using fibonacci, the player started him game set every time at 100, and progressed via fibonacci series bets of 100, 200, 300 and so on… In the above game, the player had started continuously betting on Side 1, after analyzing the game dynamics, believing that we will get the greatest return on Side 1 using the ‘Never Lose’ strategy with ‘Bet Auto Stopper’. If you have understood this article well and have played the casino games for some time, you can easily see that he has total winnings of -100, that is an overall loss of 100.  This is because he continued with an pessimistic approach that he will eventually win with his bets on Side 1.

Now, let us take a look at the optimistic+ strategy. In this case, the player starts simply betting on the side that had last won. In this case, he can either use the progressive style of betting or fibonacci to place the bets. So, you observe that he has a total winning amount of 700. Now, this technique allows you to win on a board that is continuously producing mini, medium or long sequences of the same winning side. But on a board, where the result is continuously alternating between side 1 and side 2, you might end up losing for some time, until the game again settles into sequences of one side. If there are really long sequences of alternating sides, you may choose to stop for some time, take a mini break and then come back to start off betting on the winning side.

Almost always this strategy is going to yield. But you need to combine with either fibonacci or progressive style along with the bet auto stoppers or quantum+ algorithm.

Ploppy 3:2 with 0 Technique
(Technique is Used for Roulette Class of Games)

This is a time-tested technique and the internet provides many articles and videos on how to apply and use this technique. Let me describe this technique once again over here, but very briefly.

The idea of ploppy 3:2 is to increase your chances/probability of winning in every spin at the table. You have to place 2 bets simultaneously, in the amount ratio of 3:2, with 3/5^th amount being placed on an even money payout slot like [black] on a roulette table and 2/5^th of the amount being placed on a 2 to 1 slot for the top row.

For example, if you choose to place the 3/5 bet amount on all [black numbers], you are covering 18/36 numbers and if you choose to place the 2/5 bet amount on the top row [3-36] numbers, you are covering 12/36 number. If we were to remove the common numbers, the probability increases to 26/36. But you have to note that we are ignoring the green [0] in this probability – which usually turns up sometimes as the winner and pays handsomely like 25x, 30x or 36x. Some of the roulette version have gold bars or multipliers placed and as per my observation, it lands on the green number [0] more often. Hence, the chance of that bonus amount via multiplier increases. Hence, my technique is an adaptation of the ploppy 3:2 with 0.

If you have understood the mathematical basis above, you will be able to apply it in variants, so as to bet on maximum numbers in one go. For example, you may place the 3/5 bet amount on all [red numbers], combined with 2/5 bet on the second row [2-35].

You may combine Ploppy 3:2 with 0 Technique, with fibonacci, progressive bets or quantum techniques. But the reasoning in ploppy 3:2 or in other games to place the bets on specific section or number, coined by me, is called by me as the Late Appearing Section on Table (LAST). So, Betting via LAST works on the concept that the section/number that occurred least frequently (or the most earliest in the win sequence) has a greater chance of appearing again. The opposite of this reasoning is Fresh Appearing Section on Table (FAST). FAST is very close to our Optimistic+ strategy, only that FAST will be used in combination with others, on table games with lots many number to bet, like Roulette Class of Games and Optimistic+ is ideal for Baccarat Class of Games.

 

Winning Sequence on Table (Last Winning Number at the Start): 31, 28, 1, 30, 36, 24, 13, 10, 29, 0, 0, 7, 5, 22, 22, 18, 15, 34, 34, 35

 

Using LAST Reasoning, My Prediction is that Next Winning Number will be from Top Row [3-36] as it occurred earliest in sequence.

Using FAST Reasoning, My Prediction is that Next Winning Number will be from Row #2 [2-25] as it recently occurred in sequence.

Please also take a look at the Table Statistics provided by Online Casinos, to refine or optimize your bets using the above reasoning

You see that in the above self-explanatory game set, driven by variant of progressive bets and using LAST reasoning – The player has ended up with +0070 winnings. With few good decisions or using FAST reasoning, the outcomes could have been better. Fibonacci may also be used in combination with Ploppy 3:2 with 0. So, based on the current statistics of winning numbers you can make better decisions and apply the above technique to win at roulette class of games.

Remember, once you learn, understand and apply to win (or lose) using the above techniques – You will very easily be able to combine the techniques to achieve success at online casino games. Also, you may be able to improvise. These are only based on my experience, my own intellect and reasoning at playing these games for a very short time (less than a calendar month). But I would say all these techniques had helped me win to good extent, but I ended up losing due to reckless betting, lack of adherence to bet stoppers and most of all due to poor to disastrous emotional intelligence.

Please try to revise/define these terms or techniques by yourself: Bet Auto Stopper, FAST, LAST, Game Set, Optimistic+, Quantum+, Fibonacci Betting, Progressive Betting, Quantum Slice, Ploppy 3:2, Emotional Intelligence, Impulsive Gambing, Compulsive Gambling, Probability, Odds, Ratio, 2 to 1, Even Payout, 2x,

 

Few Accessories and Trackers

Unless you have got hold of some software application (or created one by yourself) or are fine at using excel sheets (or just want to rely on your own memory) – You may find the following very interesting additions while playing online games. Remember, few may find it just a pain to maintain all these, You may just use them as per your convenience.

 

Finger Counter: https://t.ly/mYD3U

The above finger counters may be ideal if you want to keep a count of your sequence number in the current game set. You might also use 2 or 3 finger counters at the same time either on your fingers or placed suitably on a table near you – where you count the sequence of each type or each number.

Playing Sheets https://t.ly/3_Vdz

Playing sheets may let you keep count of your planned bet sequence in quantum+ or in a simple game set. You may create variants of the playing sheet as provided in the above link. I had used this playing sheet for quantum+ with progressive betting style in a wheel of fortune class of game.

 

Concluding Note

The above explanation is primarily based out of my experience playing on the online skilled gaming and casino site, Parimatch. Parimatch is a fair online betting site and even though it is ‘heavy to load on a pc’ even on a 300mbps internet connection – It has very many games and rooms to give you the flexibility to learn, experiment, play, win (and lose!). Also, the withdrawals are done quite fast. Also, deposit mechanism is very easy.  But I cannot say the same about the ‘bonus’. It is best that you stay away from all types of ‘Parimatch Bonuses’. In any case, it is my experience, but you might have had a different experience. But my rating of Parimatch is almost 4 stars out of 5. It is best you have a 500mpbs to 1gbps internet connection to extract maximum out of this site. 

Also, the above explanations might help you the most in these games in online casinos. But once you learn the strategy and concepts, you may apply it as per your need across games and across casinos.

Roulette Class of Games
Lightning Roulette, Gold Roulette, Galaxy Roulette

Baccarat Class of Games
Dragon Tiger, Cricket War, Football Studio

Wheel of Fortune Class of Games
Spin-a-Win, Mega Wheel, Music Wheel

 

“I play to win and if it looks like I've lost, its only because it’s not over yet.”

 

Winning in Online Skilled Gaming… Err… Gambling! [Part 03]

 

Idea of Bet Auto Stopper

Now, nobody likes to lose when they are on a winning streak. Once you have learned to use fibonacci style of betting – you might be winning very often. You might slowly to see that the cash you deposited would have increased to about 125%, 150% or even more. You might have started to think about paying off that small loan, paying off an emi or even better…. about buying a two-wheeler. But that’s when your dreams may come down crashing. The reason more often that not being reckless and non-safe usage of fibonacci. This is where I can come in with the concept of a ‘bet auto stopper’. Like I said earlier, we are all bound by realms of reality. Now, you have to decide a game set. Game Set, defined by me, is a series of bets placed using fibonacci playing style until the time that you win. In our above example, let us see what is going to happen if you are on a prolonged losing streak, using fibonacci, by placing bets on a 2 to 1 field.

Suppose you originally start with a deposit of INR 20,000 in the online casino and then the money in your account went up to 29,000 using intelligent bets placed using fibonacci and a bit of luck. By now, you have entered that world where you are so sure of this ‘mathematical basis’ that you continue increasing the bet amount, in fibonacci style. This is because the basis for these bets is so strong in your mind, that you are ready to take deadly risks. As shown in the table above, you are going to exhaust all the money in your account. Worse still, you may again and again refill your online casino account – and continue the series of failures, leading to a disaster. This is when I will say Skilled Gaming has moved to Impulsive and Compulsive Gambling.

But it is not going to be your fault. Because of a strong mathematical basis, you will start believing that you will surely win all your money back and go to a positive hand. So, here is where the idea of a ‘Bet Auto Stopper’  in a Fibonacci Game Set, comes to your rescue. It is very tough to implement this in the real world, as this is where your EQ comes into the picture. You need to be mentally strong and emotionally intelligent, to stop the bets beyond the safe point. It might be ok for you to take make that one last bet in your danger zone, but you should be mature to stop it beyond that point.

The best or rather the worst part is - that once you stop using ‘bet auto stopper’, you will see that as if out of magic, the winning number is exactly matching your bet sequence. It is as if the game is mocking you. But that is where being emotionally intelligent comes into the picture, you have to ignore all of these and continue onto your next game set, possibly after a short break. You will observe that if you are playing regularly, on a few days or at few intervals of time – you enter into this very often. This is because your mind has now got used to winning and it is not accepting that you lost. Because the only reasoning for this loss, that you did not have enough money to continue your bets. So, that is where you have to learn to operate within the ‘realms of reality’. Slowly n Steadily, you will see that you are able to keep your winnings and win a small to moderate amount on a daily basis at online casinos.

[Note] Before we continue, remember that Fibonacci Style works best for 2 to 1, 3x payouts or more. Progressive Style where you may double or more the bet amount in the subsequent game works best for even payout or 1x win amount. 

Quantum+ Algorithm (My Creation)

Now when times are bad just because of you did not play to the idea of a bet auto stopper or you are just having a bad day, when you are continuously losing even with safe bets, I have devised a low bet, low profit variation called as Quantum+ Algorithm. I am the proud creator of this algorithm. Remember, you need to have an analysis of currently on game and find out the statistics of the winning numbers before you start off on the Quantum+. This algorithm involves placing bets for a specific quantum of bets. Quantum+ will allow you to place safe bets within a given quantum of time/game set. You have to adapt this algorithm across games, using your own intellect and try to improvise.

In the previous game set description in the previous, you would usually continue to bet until either you have won or reached a bet auto stopper or possibly, until you run out of cash. Now, Quantum+ would require you to bring down the bet amount to very safe limits and continuously bet in a given quantum (adaptation of game set) and each bet is a slice in the quantum. Quantum+ Algorithm will really work well on 5x, 10x, 15x type of returns and may also allow you to autoplay.

Now, you see this is just like a robot on auto play and you are not too much bothered about game dynamics that happen during the course of this quantum. You are more emotionally detached, believing in the algorithm – because of the time that you had spent on analysis at the beginning on what to bet and the quantum slices. In the above quantum set, you can see that by winning only 6/20 times, which is just 30% - the player has a total win of 1250. But this may not be the outcome always. It might read lost across the table. Hence, you have to combine a soft bet auto stopper and observe carefully and either restart of adopt a different approach as per your own discretion and analysis.

Winning in Online Skilled Gaming… Err… Gambling! [Part 02]

 

Advise for Intermediate+ (Mid-Level Players)

Start with More Money

It is better to start with more money. This is something that you would have already realized if you have played the game for some time. This is also because of your confidence of having won or equalled your beginner or basic level of bets/amounts. It is better to start off with deposits of mid-level money. I will define mid-level as INR 20,000 to INR 40,000. As described earlier, as a player and also based on your financial status, you have to decide what amount corresponds to your absolute beginner, beginner, intermediate and intermediate+ levels. 

Illusion of a Perfect Technique

By now, you may have understood and won with a few techniques that helped you win at the beginner level. It may also because of your Beginner’s Luck. But as you proceed, you might grow overconfident that you have mastered a technique or a set of techniques. This illusion is harmful, as you may get stuck with this thought and end up continuously bet without limits and finally exhaust all the cash that you bought to the table. Remember, as in every thing that we do in the world, we keep on mastering/polishing/improvising on technique. Also, we try to adapt to the current dynamics of the game, host or simply the game day.

Limitations of Money in Pocket

Unless your great distant relative left you an unlimited wealth in inheritance - Remember, you have limitations on the money that you have or that you can budget for your gaming. This reality should be a driving force in all that you do. It does not mean that you should constantly have this thought in your mind – Only that you should plan your finances correctly and work within the realms of that reality. Like, you plan a percentage of your salary or pay or savings for playing this game and then plan how much you plan to or can spend per day – Try to stick to the limits and then you will see that you will be able to achieve overall

Set your Safe Money Boundaries

Remember that when we discuss later about a single game, game set, series of game sets, game day – you need to very rigidly and maybe display it as a banner where yo u can see it – like an animated marquee on your 2^nd monitor or a poster next to your game workstation or game seat. In any case, it has to be registered that you should not go beyond set safe money boundaries per set. If you can follow this correctly and practice in throughout your game playing, you will definitely succeed. Else, You will end up as a Cat (You, Predator) that chased a Mouse (Game Win, Hunt) long enough, before it was hit hard by a Moving Vehicle (Exhausted Deposit, Injured) or in other words Eaten by a Dog (Totally Run Out of Money, Large Predator).

 

Techniques of Game Playing

Basics of Fibonacci – Explanation of Never Lose

(Applicable to Roulette, Spin The Wheel, Baccarat Class of Games)

This is a known basis to many who have played online casino games. For applications of other techniques, you have to first understand and learn to apply this basic technique. Let us start with Fibonacci Series – 0,1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, … This was created by the European Mathematician, Liber Abaci at the beginning of the 13^th Century.

Now, how will this help you in placing your bets?

Let us start with any on the casino games, that typically pay 2 to 1 for a specific bet/field. If we were to bet without fibonacci, you may go on to bet as follows, typically.

You can very easily find out that the new player has ended up with an overall loss of 100 even after winning 2 times during the course of the above game set. In normal course of things, most player would start betting small and then increase only slightly, if they keep losing. But the joy of victory, will lead to an increase in the betting amount. And this patten follows, as the user wins or loses. Usually, in this pattern, the player will bet arbitrarily and just rely solely on luck (possibly some analysis of the board/last winning numbers) and will eventually lose. Remember, this is not true for people who are really lucky, as most of these are fair game of chance, not just skill. But being in such luck, continuously, is almost like being blessed by an angel.

 

 The magic of fibonacci can be seen above that the player has ended with winnings of 400 overall, after winning only the last bet in the game set. Driven by a strong mathematical basis, the user has ‘no fear’ to keep increasing the bet, even though he is losing. You see that every time by following a ‘next fibonacci term increase’ in the bet, for a 2 to 1 payout bet, the player has managed to win 400. So, theoretically, this is like a ‘never lose’ betting style. Once you get used to this, you will enjoy the winnings that you keep getting bet after bet. Slowly, you will start realizing that you are going to ‘never lose’.  Once you have reached a sizeable win, you start off from the basic bet again in the next cycle or next game set.

But it does come with few dangers, including grave ones. If you continue recklessly on this path, without a mechanism to stop sanely, you will lose all your winnings and may even end up being bankrupt, when combined with compulsive gambling. Also, once you are on the losing streak, you may even end up into impulsive moves and totally lose the plot. Hence, I need to emphasize that while IQ is important, but EQ is far more important.

Winning in Online Skilled Gaming… Err… Gambling! [Part 01]

My Skilled Gaming Background

Recently, I started off on Skilled Games which are variants of Roulette, Wheel of Fortune and Baccarat. It was only by chance that I started playing these games. While betting on India for the Cricket World Cup Final on a betting site, I first came across these games. Well, India Lost the final and the World Cup Ended… But I started off on a new journey into the world of Online Skilled Gaming… Err… Gambling.

So, Whether It is Skilled Gaming or Gambling, it entirely depends on what is your central thought process while playing the game. The dictionary would define most of these games as a Game of Chance. But believe me, even though the outcome of a single roulette spin or mega wheel spin is a matter of chance, in a fair casino – Playing these games involves a lot of strategy, technique, mathematical basis and challenges the intellect. Hence, the term Skilled Gaming is a fair and eventual usage for folks involved in playing this game for longer time frames/durations.

By the way, In this my first month of playing these games, I have already lost USD 1900 (~INR 160,000). But I am sure I will be able to win this back and maybe even more. So, that is my background as a Skilled Gamer/Gambler as I write this article. So, I cannot boast of being a big winner as I share my techniques and experience. But I am sure that people who are beginning to play these skilled games, will be able to learn from my mistakes. This might help them to win and retain their winnings right from the beginning.  Remember, the important word there… ‘Retain’.

Before we begin, you need to first understand the two main elements, while playing games in an online casino. Remember, being great in strategy, intellect, analysis, technique may help you to win – but if you lack in controlling your impulses or try to go far beyond set safe boundaries you may not be able to keep your winnings. Ultimately, without a balance of the below two – where the second being very important to make sure that you do not end up losing big including losing all your winnings – you will not be able to make a positive impact. In my case, I strongly believe my lack of the second point, did not let me retain my winnings. You have to understand that it is very easy to get swayed away during the dynamics of game playing, but you must ensure that before you begin you make a pact with yourself on your boundaries and limits and stick to it, without fail.

Intelligence Quotient (IQ)

An intelligence quotient is a total score derived from a set of standardised tests or subtests designed to assess human intelligence. The Intelligence Quotient (IQ) is a measure of a person's intellectual abilities in relation to others.

Emotional Quotient (EQ)

The ability to understand and control your own feelings, and to understand the feelings of others and react to them in a suitable way. Emotional intelligence is defined as the ability to perceive, use, understand, manage, and handle emotions.

 

Advise for Beginners (Entry Level Players)

Start with Small Amount

It is the best that you start with a small amount. This will help you to learn the techniques via practice, it will reduce the risk, increase chance of winnings and teach you the basics of emotional control. If I were to specify in the INR context, I will consider the following as a very small amount: INR 2000-5000. Very soon, depending on your interest, passion, reasoning, gaming experience – you may realize that you create your own small amount boundaries, like from about INR 5000-15000. But control your urge to continuously keep depositing and trying your chances to win, without actually understanding the techniques and mathematical basis.

Impulsive Gambling

At the beginning, you may start off on randomly placing bets on numbers or make arbitrary choices, betting amounts based on your basic analysis of the game. This is true for every individual who starts off on these games. But as time goes on, It would be in best interest that you refrain from impulsive gambling, that is you do not keep betting based on your current bursts of energy. Even thought, at times, this may yield you some money – as it is a game of chance. But, believe me, In the long run it will be disastrous and not yield anything and you may end up losing huge amounts. You have to play to a plan, a strategy using techniques described here. Your intellect and experience may hep you in improvising and finding variants of the techniques described in this article.

Compulsive Gambling

Another thing is the urge to continue playing these games. The strong urge to play these games continuously, day in and day out, is a very normal human response. This may affect your normal student day or work day. Hence, It is best to plan your time to play these games. It will also give you some reserved fun time, something that challenges your intellect outside of your study/work and a judicial use of your analytical/mathematical/reasoning abilities. I used to play after my work day, at late night or early morning. This was a good way to end the day. But I also had urges to play this throughout the day, which I usually did on weekends.

Hydration and Tea Breaks

The excitement created by these games may lead to increased blood pressure, focussed and long use of monitors while staring at them continuously and deeply, anxiety, mood disorders, dehydration, skipping nature’s calls, disinterest in completing household chores, skipping daily shower, decreased personal hygiene and a host of such other disorderly behaviours. By not indulging in impulsive and compulsive gambling, you might save yourself from many of these problems. Also, you have to make sure you have a bottle of water and tea/coffee in a thermos besides you, if you like to drink tea/coffee. It is better that you take a 5minute to 10minute break every 1 hour or every play cycle or game set to drink water and have tea/coffee, as per your choice. You might also choose to have a tea/coffee cup warmer by the side of your playing device (mobile, tablet or pc). Be warned that the game playing may also lead to an increase in the number of cigarettes you smoke – Please make sure to control this behavior.

Breaks on a Losing Streak

When you are on a losing streak, It is highly advisable that you take a break and move out of the context of the game. You may choose to watch YouTube, Short Film or Social Surf. Try to focus on something out of context – like Animal Kingdom, Comedy, Cartoons, Sports, Current Affairs(!) or Latest Movie Trailers. It is just to get you of that mindset and then you come back to the game, for a new series of game sets. It is also advisable, that when you are on a series of losing streaks, It is better to avoid playing on that day. It is such things that are easier said than done. It is because your loss might takeaway your sleep and hence you may choose to continue playing. These are the things, if mastered, may let you keep your winnings and also, to keep winning more.